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Predicting the size of the Linux kernel binary

How big is the binary for the Linux kernel? Depending on the value of around 15,000 configuration options, the size of the version 5.8 binary could be anywhere between 7.3Mb and 2,134 Mb.

Who is interested in the size of the Linux kernel binary?

We are not in the early 1980s, when memory for a desktop microcomputer often topped out at 64K, and software was distributed on 360K floppies (720K when double density arrived; my companies first product was a code optimizer which reduced program size by around 10%).

While desktop systems usually have oodles of memory (disk and RAM), developers targeting embedded systems seek to reduce costs by minimizing storage requirements, security conscious organizations want to minimise the attack surface of the programs they run, and performance critical systems might want a kernel that fits within a processors’ L2/L3 cache.

When management want to maximise the functionality supported by a kernel within given hardware resource constraints, somebody gets the job of building kernels supporting various functionality to find out the size of the binaries.

At around 4+ minutes per kernel build, it’s going to take a lot of time (or cloud costs) to compare lots of options.

The paper Transfer Learning Across Variants and Versions: The Case of Linux Kernel Size by Martin, Acher, Pereira, Lesoil, Jézéquel, and Khelladi describes an attempt to build a predictive model for the size of the kernel binary. This paper includes an extensive list of references.

The author’s approach was to first obtain lots of kernel binary sizes by building lots of kernels using random permutations of on/off options (only on/off options were changed). Seven kernel versions between 4.13 and 5.8 were used, producing 243,323 size/option setting combinations (complete dataset). This data was used to train a machine learning model.

The accuracy of the predictions made by models trained on a single kernel version were accurate within that kernel version, but the accuracy of single version trained models dropped dramatically when used to predict the binary size of later kernel versions, e.g., a model trained on 4.13 had an accuracy of 5% MAPE predicting 4.13, when predicting 4.15 the accuracy is 20%, and 32% accurate predicting 5.7.

I think that the authors’ attempt to use this data to build a model that is accurate across versions is doomed to failure. The rate of change of kernel features (whose conditional compilation is supported by one or more build options) supported by Linux is too high to be accurately modelled based purely on information of past binary sizes/options. The plot below shows the total number of features, newly added, and deleted features in the modelled version of the kernel (code+data):

Total number of features, new features, and deleted features in various Linux kernel versions.

What is the range of impacts of each build option, on binary size?

If each build option is independent of the others (around 44% of conditional compilation directives in the kernel source contain one option), then the fitted coefficients of a simple regression model gives the build size increment when the corresponding option is enabled. After several cpu hours, the 92,562 builds involving 9,469 options in the version 4.13 build data were fitted. The plot below shows a sorted list of the size contribution of each option; the model R^2 is 0.72, i.e., quite a good fit (code+data):

Incremental size impact on kernel binary for each of 9,469 kernel build options.

While the mean size increment for an enabled option is 75K, around 40% of enabled options decreases the size of the kernel binary. Modelling pairs of options (around 38% of conditional compilation directives in the kernel source contain two options) will have some impact on the pattern of behavior seen in the plot, but given the quality of the current model (R^2 is 0.72) the change is unlikely to be dramatic. However, the simplistic approach of regression fitting the 90 million pairs of option interactions is not practical.

What might be a practical way of estimating binary size for any kernel version?

The size of a binary is essentially the quantity of code+static data it contains.

An estimate of the quantity of conditionally compiled source code dependent on a given option is likely to be a good proxy for that option’s incremental impact on binary size.

It’s trivial to scan source code for occurrences of options in conditional compilation directives, and with a bit more work, the number of lines controlled by the directive can be counted.

There has been a lot of evidence-based research on software product lines, and feature macros in particular. I was expecting to find a dataset listing the amount of code controlled by build options in Linux, but the data I can find does not measure Linux.

The Martin et al. build data is perfectfor creating a model linking quantity of conditionally compiled source code to change of binary size.

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